Arvada Home Prices: $670K, Down 1.9% — 3 ZIPs Analyzed (2026)
$670,118. That’s the typical home value in Arvada as of February 2026, down 1.9% from a year ago. Prices have slipped every month since peaking last spring.
Quick answer: The average home price in Arvada, CO is $670,118 as of February 2026, down 1.9% year over year according to Zillow.
Current Home Prices in Arvada
The Arvada market has cooled. After hitting $683,306 in March 2025, the citywide median has dropped each month since. The current $670,118 figure reflects a $13,188 decline over 11 months — modest in percentage terms, but the direction is clear.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median home value | $670,118 |
| Year-over-year change | -1.9% |
| Cheapest ZIP | $560,777 (80002) |
| Most expensive ZIP | $847,445 (80007) |
| ZIPs analyzed | 3 |
| Data through | February 2026 |
The price spread between Arvada’s cheapest and most expensive ZIPs is roughly $287,000. That’s a 51% gap from bottom to top — a wide range for a single suburb of about 122,000 people.
You’re looking at a Denver metro suburb where the typical home still costs more than two and a half times the U.S. median. Arvada sits inside the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood metro, so prices move with the broader Front Range. The 1.9% annual drop matches a pattern across Colorado’s mature suburbs: cooling, not crashing.
For context, the citywide median peaked at $683,306 in March 2025. Twelve months earlier, the comparable figure put prices well above $680K. So the current dip undoes roughly a year of appreciation but leaves Arvada far above 2020 levels.
Arvada Home Prices by Neighborhood
Three ZIPs make up the Arvada market in this dataset. The gap between them is unusually wide.
| ZIP Code | Home Value | Avg Rent | vs City Median |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80007 | $847,445 | $3,600 | +26.5% |
| 80004 | $602,131 | $2,324 | -10.1% |
| 80002 | $560,777 | $2,053 | -16.3% |
Most Expensive
80007 tops the list at $847,445. This western Arvada ZIP commands a 26.5% premium over the city median and rents for $3,600 per month — the highest in the city by a wide margin.
There are only three ZIPs in the dataset, so the “top three” and “bottom three” overlap completely. The other two are covered below.
Most Affordable
80002 is the cheapest at $560,777, sitting 16.3% below the citywide median. Rent averages $2,053 per month — the lowest of the three ZIPs.
80004 is the middle option at $602,131, roughly 10% below median, with rent at $2,324 per month. It sits between the high-end 80007 and entry-level 80002 on both purchase and rental costs.
If you want to live in Arvada under $600K, 80002 is your best shot. If your budget tops out at $650K, 80004 doubles your selection.


Rent vs Buy in Arvada
Rent runs from $2,053 in 80002 to $3,600 in 80007. The three-ZIP average is roughly $2,659 per month.
Compare that to ownership. A $670,118 home with 20% down ($134,024) at a 7% 30-year fixed leaves a $536,094 loan. Principal and interest alone come to about $3,567 per month. Add property taxes (Colorado averages around 0.5%, or roughly $279 per month here), insurance (figure $150-200), and you clear $4,000 monthly before maintenance.
That’s roughly $1,400 per month more than the average rent across the city’s three ZIPs. Over a year, owning costs about $17,000 more than renting at current prices.
Buying still builds equity. But with prices down 1.9% over the last year, that equity could shrink before it grows. A buyer who put $134K down in March 2025 would be carrying a home worth $13,000 less today — though they’d have made roughly $7,000 in principal payments to offset some of it.
The rent-to-price ratio in Arvada works out to about 4.8% gross annual rent against home value. That’s below the 7-8% threshold many investors use to justify buy-and-hold rentals. In short: Arvada favors renters today on cash flow.
Population Growth and Migration
Arvada is losing residents. The city counted 124,363 people in 2020 and 121,873 in 2024 — a 2.0% decline over four years.
| Year | Population |
|---|---|
| 2020 | 124,363 |
| 2021 | 123,512 |
| 2022 | 121,608 |
| 2023 | 121,706 |
| 2024 | 121,873 |
The bottom hit in 2022. Population has ticked up slightly since, gaining 265 residents from 2022 to 2024. So while the four-year trend is negative, the most recent two years show a small rebound.
How does Arvada compare to other Colorado cities?
| City | 2024 Population | 4-Year Growth |
|---|---|---|
| Greeley | 114,363 | +4.6% |
| Aurora | 403,130 | +4.2% |
| Thornton | 146,689 | +3.2% |
| Colorado Springs | 493,554 | +2.5% |
| Denver | 729,019 | +1.6% |
| Arvada | 121,873 | -2.0% |
Every comparison city grew. Arvada shrank. Thornton — Arvada’s neighbor to the east — added more than 4,500 residents while Arvada lost 2,490.
This matters for housing. Stagnant or declining population reduces demand pressure on prices. The 1.9% YoY drop in home values lines up with the demographic picture. Where buyers aren’t replacing sellers, prices soften.
Arvada Housing Market Trends
The 12-month trajectory is a steady glide downward.
| Month | Median Value |
|---|---|
| March 2025 | $683,306 |
| April 2025 | $679,700 |
| May 2025 | $676,614 |
| June 2025 | $673,868 |
| July 2025 | $671,736 |
| August 2025 | $670,960 |
| September 2025 | $671,498 |
| October 2025 | $672,285 |
| November 2025 | $672,606 |
| December 2025 | $672,325 |
| January 2026 | $671,615 |
| February 2026 | $670,118 |
The peak was March 2025. Prices fell through the summer, flattened in fall, then resumed dropping in winter. The total decline from peak to current: $13,188, or about 1.9%.
What’s notable is the lack of any meaningful rebound. October through December showed a brief stabilization around $672K, but January and February returned to the downward trend. There’s no sign yet of the spring 2025 high being retested.
The high-end ZIP (80007) saw the steepest dollar drop — from $865,474 in March 2025 to $847,445 in February 2026, a $18,029 decline. The cheapest ZIP (80002) fell only $10,325 over the same period. Higher-priced segments are taking the biggest hit in absolute terms.
Is Arvada a Good Place to Buy in 2026?
The data points to a buyer’s market, with caveats.
In favor of buyers: prices are down 1.9% YoY and have fallen for 11 of the last 12 months. Population is flat-to-declining, which softens demand. Rent is cheaper than ownership, so you’re not racing a rising rental market.
Against buyers: at $670K median, Arvada is still expensive. Mortgage rates near 7% mean monthly payments stretch most household budgets. And prices haven’t dropped enough to call this a deal — they’ve dropped enough to call this a pause.
If you’re a long-term buyer who’ll hold for 7+ years, Arvada’s location in the Denver metro provides downside protection. The decline isn’t a collapse; it’s a 1.9% reset.
If you’re hoping to flip or refinance in 2-3 years, the trend isn’t on your side. Wait or negotiate hard.
The cheapest entry point is 80002 at $560,777. That’s the ZIP to watch for first-time buyers.
Arvada Housing Market Outlook for 2026-2027
The 3-month trend is mildly negative. From December 2025 to February 2026, the median fell from $672,325 to $670,118 — a 0.3% decline over 90 days.
If the current pace continues, Arvada would see prices drop another 1-1.5% over the next six months. That would put the median in the $660K range by late summer 2026.
But the picture isn’t uniformly bearish. The brief stabilization in late 2025 suggests the market is searching for a floor. With population gaining slightly since 2022 and the wider Denver metro economy intact, a continued grind lower is more likely than a sharp drop.
The wildcard is mortgage rates. If rates fall meaningfully, demand could return quickly given how much pent-up inventory has accumulated. If rates stay high, expect the slow drift down to continue through the rest of 2026.
Similar Markets in CO
- Denver — the metro’s anchor city, where Arvada buyers often start their search
- Westminster — Arvada’s eastern neighbor, often compared on price and commute
- Thornton — growing 3.2% while Arvada shrinks; worth checking for buyers chasing demand
- Aurora — the metro’s largest suburb, generally cheaper than Arvada
- Centennial — south metro alternative for buyers wanting similar suburb quality
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the average home price in Arvada?
The average home price in Arvada is $670,118 as of February 2026. That figure is the citywide median across three ZIP codes (80002, 80004, and 80007), with individual ZIP medians ranging from $560,777 to $847,445.
Are home prices going up or down in Arvada?
Prices are down 1.9% year over year. The citywide median peaked at $683,306 in March 2025 and has drifted lower in nearly every month since, settling at $670,118 in February 2026.
Is it cheaper to rent or buy in Arvada?
Renting is cheaper. Average rent across Arvada’s three ZIPs runs about $2,659 per month, while owning a typical $670K home with 20% down at 7% interest costs over $4,000 per month after taxes and insurance.
What is the most affordable neighborhood in Arvada?
ZIP 80002 is the cheapest at $560,777 — about 16% below the city median. Rent there averages $2,053 per month, also the lowest of Arvada’s three ZIP codes.
Methodology
Home values are based on the Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), a smoothed measure of typical home values in the 35th to 65th percentile range. Rent estimates use the Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). Population figures come from the U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program (2020-2024 vintage). All datasets are publicly available. Housing data updated 2026-02-28.